Disruptive presidential candidates; and what will happen if they win

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ArmChairCivvy
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Disruptive presidential candidates; and what will happen if they win

Post by ArmChairCivvy »

No, not posting about the US election (though recent) nor about the next one coming up in Europe.

https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpspr ... 2796-1.jpg

The likely challenger in Russia just got 15 days (picture says it all) and of course has a probation hanging over his head, so that even in the last minute he can be prevented from standing, by finding an excuse for how the probation rules may have been broken.

Not to trust just BBC reporting, picking up from Evening Standard (in 1937 when it still was a quality paper):
"Dictators ride to and fro on tigers from which they dare not dismount. And the tigers are getting hungry."
Ever-lasting truths: Multi-year budgets/ planning by necessity have to address the painful questions; more often than not the Either-Or prevails over Both-And.
If everyone is thinking the same, then someone is not thinking (attributed to Patton)

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ArmChairCivvy
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Re: Disruptive presidential candidates; and what will happen if they win

Post by ArmChairCivvy »

Well they can't win if they are dead, like in
"A Moscow military court found five Chechens guilty of murdering Russian opposition leader Boris Nemtsov in a trial that failed to discuss motive" or the one I wrote about in the the post above:
- object for an acid attack (formerly a method in feuds between mafia gangs, the rivals girl friend normally being the target) and behind bars (which invalidates any candidate status).

Meanwhile, the model of government is declared superior to alternatives, and that is official:
"It Has Become Obvious That the Liberal Model of Globalization 'Has Exhausted Its Potential'
Russia. OFFICIAL STATEMENT. 30 Jun 2017"
Ever-lasting truths: Multi-year budgets/ planning by necessity have to address the painful questions; more often than not the Either-Or prevails over Both-And.
If everyone is thinking the same, then someone is not thinking (attributed to Patton)

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ArmChairCivvy
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Re: Disruptive presidential candidates; and what will happen if they win

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Bad choice of headline on my part (as Italy is not a democracy where the power is centered, and with the president).

This is what populists do (from the New York Times):
"After a leaked draft of the alliance’s government platform included proposals about leaving the eurozone and a proposed finance minister turned out to have helped write a guide to leaving the euro, the global markets dipped precipitously.

Since then, however, seemingly every Five Star and League leader has disavowed their antagonism to the euro, or rather denied ever harboring any hostility to it whatsoever."

But as Nigel is about to leave (and pick up his euro-pension), there will be "a successor":

" unclear [was] how the parties, which had demanded an Italians-first approach and a dramatic restructuring of their relationship with Europe, would go about it.

“I will read the composition of the government,” Mr. Conte said late Thursday night, minutes after receiving approval to form a government from President Mattarella.

The cabinet still included the minister blocked by President Mattarella — Paolo Savona, the euro-skeptic economist. But Mr. Savona has now been moved from the powerful finance ministry to the less consequential European affairs ministry.

He will nevertheless be Italy’s representative in Brussels, a key spot for a coalition that wants to change the rules of the European Union."
- the separation of defence, in the form of NATO, from the EU (other than for research and crisis management ops) sounds like a good idea... indeed better day by day

Two-speed Europe coming fast (North of the Alps; France to be given " waiver")?
Ever-lasting truths: Multi-year budgets/ planning by necessity have to address the painful questions; more often than not the Either-Or prevails over Both-And.
If everyone is thinking the same, then someone is not thinking (attributed to Patton)

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ArmChairCivvy
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Re: Disruptive presidential candidates; and what will happen if they win

Post by ArmChairCivvy »

Hardly a disruptive candidate (and no Presidents in a monarchy), but with only a quarter of seats in the Spanish parliament, co-opting the disruptors will be a tough walk on a tight rope:
"Although he [the new PM, Pedro Sánchez: emerged as a virtual unknown to 2014... and a photogenic economist] leads the Socialist PSOE party, he is not [!] a member of parliament. Correspondents say that with only 84 lower house seats, the party will struggle to find allies to get legislation enacted."
- will Spain become a new Belgium, where the central gvmnt gets nothing done without the say-so from the strongest parts of the federation?
Ever-lasting truths: Multi-year budgets/ planning by necessity have to address the painful questions; more often than not the Either-Or prevails over Both-And.
If everyone is thinking the same, then someone is not thinking (attributed to Patton)

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ArmChairCivvy
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Re: Disruptive presidential candidates; and what will happen if they win

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Next new president (err, Venezuela might get there first) will be the one heading the EU Commission.

Will Merkel get to install "her man" or will the smaller countries say "enough of the so-called Franco-German engine"?

The Economist is speculating on "Ms Vestager (pronounced “Vest-ayer”)[, who] does not shy from making powerful enemies. Brought up in a bustling Lutheran parsonage in a coastal corner of Denmark, she is known in Brussels for her straight manner and dry humour. She arrived there in 2014 after a career in Copenhagen as education minister, economy minister and leader of Radikale, a small social-liberal party."
- and unlike ours, this lady just stopped a brain child of Merkel's and Macron's in its tracks< Said 'non, no, nej' for a change
- yes, I am talking about the proposed train merger
Ever-lasting truths: Multi-year budgets/ planning by necessity have to address the painful questions; more often than not the Either-Or prevails over Both-And.
If everyone is thinking the same, then someone is not thinking (attributed to Patton)

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ArmChairCivvy
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Posts: 16312
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Re: Disruptive presidential candidates; and what will happen if they win

Post by ArmChairCivvy »

Well, https://edition.cnn.com/2021/05/09/euro ... index.html
in Navalnyi's case we are unlikely to find out and everyone with first hand information of his poisoning incident is also being 'edited out' of the picture, regardless who they sided with in their statements at the time of the incident and subsequent treatment.
Ever-lasting truths: Multi-year budgets/ planning by necessity have to address the painful questions; more often than not the Either-Or prevails over Both-And.
If everyone is thinking the same, then someone is not thinking (attributed to Patton)

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