@Donald-san, @Repulse - apologies for the delay in responding - I still have a day job and occasionally they want me to earn my keep
Repulse wrote:However, in the short term, to say that BAE could only get 9 T26s built before the T26 replacement is bollocks
You are assuming that they still have the same capacity as when they built T23 and T45. I keep seeing comments about job losses and reductions in apprentice training, so I'm not sure that they still have the same capabilities as before. You stated the 16-month drumbeat as believable - the arithmetic shows that only nine hulls are possible in that time frame (@Donald-san says ten - see below)
donald_of_tokyo wrote:he "18 months drum beat" idea is meaning "intentional delaying"
Obviously anything less than maximum speed of construction could be construed as intentional delay.
donald_of_tokyo wrote:So when hull-10 is built in "18 months drum beat", 15% of the labors are free.
No - the other way around - you get lower productivity when building the first hulls - not "free" labour at the end. Your workforce will be sized to get ships in the water every x months
after the initial build issues have been ironed out. That's why it takes 5 to 6 years to get the first one into commission, because your productivity is lower at the beginning and you have to start multiple hulls in parallel build. It actually takes 2-3 years to build each ship - you only deliver them on an x-month drumbeat.
donald_of_tokyo wrote:"seamless" continuity is just normal world wide.
I wouldn't call an unrealised plan for the future an example of "normal worldwide". But, as I said, it may happen. Not sure if BAE have even managed that without outside assistance.
donald_of_tokyo wrote:"incremental acquisition" concept, to make the 1st ship significantly simple (by ~15%)
That's what I was talking about when I wrote about "spiral development" for the T31 about 6 months ago. Start with a "light" version, then "light plus" etc, etc. Doesn't apply to the T26, though, since all will be built to the same specification.
donald_of_tokyo wrote:I also think BAES can relatively easily build 10 hull by 2036
Indeed - it could be possible - block building allows more hulls to be built in parallel, so possibly an additional hull could be accommodated once the T45 replacement starts, if there was money to build it. Capacity might get us ten hulls, money only gets us nine. In either situation, there is no capability (industrial or financial) to build thirteen hulls. Stopping at eight allows us the money for the quick build option and allows BAE, in the fullness of time, to concentrate on the T45 replacement (hopefully we get 8 this time), to go with 8 T26 and a large number of T31 frigates and their derivatives.
Tempest414 wrote:what I think is that the next two class of escort ships i.e type 26 & 31 will be built and that the UK needs to just make the best of a bad job and look forward to what next in the form of the type 45 replacement and try to get it right
I agree with that - we are where we are. No amount of "coulda, shoulda, woulda" changes that. Let's see if we can fix it in future
The pessimist sees difficulty in every opportunity. The optimist sees the opportunity in every difficulty.
Winston Churchill