In which case RN will have to wait until the mid 2030’s for the FSS’s to be operational. Way too slow.tomuk wrote:So they can wait until 2026/2027 to start when capacity will be available at Rosyth.Repulse wrote: I would tend to agree, the FSSS now has to be the priority
By giving Rosyth all of the non complex shipbuilding in the UK HMG would create an almighty logjam.
There is no way Rosyth can build 5x T31, 3x FSS, 6x MRSS, 1 or 2 MROSS, 2 Wave replacements, Point replacements and border patrol craft etc within the next 15 to 18 years. It’s impossible without a complete redevelopment of the Rosyth site and it would be strategically nonsensical due to current political climate in Scotland.
Personally I think it’s most likely that BAE will trudge on as planned with the T26 before commencing the T83’s.
Rosyth will build the T31’s followed by the T32’s, therefore stretching the drumbeat out to the mid to late 2030’s. Babcock can reinforce the drumbeat at any stage with RB1 and RB2 replacements if and when required.
On a balance of probability I think Navantia/BMT will get FSS with a high likelihood that the MRSS and the Wave/Point replacements will follow. Either H&W or Cammall Laird could assemble the blocks, possibly both yards could have a role. Navantia’s involvement could reduce gradually as skills and experience is gained. Politically it may also keep a lid on the Gibraltar tensions.
Appledore could concentrate on border force cutters and possibly MORSS.
I may be wrong about Navantia but the mists will start to clear when the maintenance contract for QE is issued in the near future. If it goes to H&W, expect the FSS to be at least assembled in Belfast.