Uhmm, I am not so optimistic.Poiuytrewq wrote: ↑17 Nov 2022, 09:45 Govan/Scotstoun: T26 followed by T83
Rosyth: T31 followed by T32 plus all CVF refits
H&W Belfast: FSS followed by Amphibs and Wave/Point replacements
H&W Appledore: All Survey, OPV and Patrol vessels
Barrow: All Subs
Cammell Laird: RFA refit work
Govan/Scotstoun: T26 followed by T83; this will mean very inefficient 2 years drumbeat to continue. For what? Why paying higher than needed, just to distribute works elsewhere? No one will be happy.
Rosyth: T31 followed by T32 plus all CVF refits : This means no build works after 2032 or so. Rosyth will be reduced to yet another "repair/maintenance yard". No one will be happy.
H&W Belfast: FSS followed by Amphibs and Wave/Point replacements : 3 FSS, 6 Amphib, 4 Points, 0 Waves, and then 4 Tides. Building 17 "big but relatively simple merchant type" hulls, which will be in service for 35+ years. Two years drumbeat of "big but relatively simple merchant type" hulls? Very inefficient.
H&W Appledore: All Survey, OPV and Patrol vessels : 1 Survey, 8 or 5 OPVs, 0 Patrol vessels. 14 ships in 30 years rotation? Very inefficient.
Barrow: All Subs: Known to be very inefficient.
Cammell Laird: RFA refit work : Good, but do not forget AandP.
In conclusion, UK shipbuilding will collapse again around 2035-2040.
If me, I will:
Govan/Scotstoun: T26 followed by T83, and T32. Even some blocks of "3 FSS, 6 Amphib, 4 Points, 0 Waves, and then 4 Tides". Compete on "1 Survey, 8 or 5 OPVs, 0 Patrol vessels" with Rosyth.
Rosyth: T31 followed by "6 Amphib, 4 Points, 0 Waves, and then 4 Tides.", and many blocks of "3 FSS". Compete on "1 Survey, 8 or 5 OPVs, 0 Patrol vessels" with Clyde.
H&W Belfast: 3 FSS and nothing more. Try for merchant ship order.
H&W Appledore: Nothing more. Try for merchant ship order.
Barrow: All Subs: Known to be very inefficient, but need to keep it. Can XLUUV be also built there?
Cammell Laird and A&P: RFA refit work and some blocks from Clyde and Rosyth.
At least, sustainable.