Gabriele wrote: the 9 billion include the early 1.9 billion contribution to design phase which is a one-off. Also included are hundreds of millions of RAF Marham infrastructure
ArmChairCivvy wrote: the 10-year approved budget, and the
total cost estimate out to 2048 for the overall UK F-35 programme as circa £13 billion
The 9 is a totally arbitrary figure, down to the 10-yr horizon prescribed for the EP. Where the 2048 derives from (as a cut-off? The 'lifing' of the airframes of the first batch? Tiffies reeceived 5000 hrs, each, from nowhere - meaning that once there were stats from actual use, then the original estimate could be revised) ...who knows, as the next decision point (after the deliveries tailing off 2023/24) comes earlier, with the remaining tiffie Tr1s leaving.
However, there is a way to slice through this Gordion's knot and make the two prgrms' costs to be more 'equal' and that way was speculated about in The Telegraph, following the Germans' lead - of all things
"The British Government is committed to buying 138 F-35 fighter aircraft from US manufacturer Lockheed Martin. The Ministry of Defence (MoD) has so far bought 48 aircraft at a cost of £9.1 billion but is now reconsidering its pledge to buy a further 90 F-35s.
Instead, the Telegraph understands it is looking at purchasing Eurofighter jets, made by a European consortium that includes the UK. The European manufactured jets are currently, on best estimates, about half the price of an F-35."https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/0 ... play-like/
All of this, small change anyway if we look across the Gvmnt's major projects, the so called GMPP (portfolio that is tracked and departments then named and shamed... may be even a minister going for performance
, not personal life reasons)
" For some projects (Nuclear Warhead Capability Sustainment Programme and Hinkley Point C), there are significant costs (approximately £57 billion) but no rating."
- one can find a rationale for those being for "selected eyes" only. But
" For other projects like the Type 26 Global Combat Ship, neither a RAG rating, nor a whole-life cost figure is available (although a budget for the financial year is published)."
- the F-35 and T-26 are perhaps not brothers, but at least cousins in the way that both involved services will have to come up with a cost effective mix of 'bleeding edge' and 'good enough'. OR, the defence budget will have to shoot from 2% of GNP to 3